Breaking down the 6 best bets ahead of the 2018 U.S. Open

All odds courtesy of Bovada.

Short odds

Justin Rose, 14/1

Doesn’t it seem like we should just pick Rose for every major these days? He’s just so consistent, and almost quietly so. He just won the Fort Worth Invitational a few weeks ago and finished sixth at The Memorial, which means he’s coming in hot. He obviously won this event in 2013, and although he doesn’t drive the ball as long as some of the other big names coming to Shinnecock, he’s top-20 in greens in regulation percentage, scoring average, sand save percentage, scrambling and putting average. In other words, he can handle what the USGA throws at him. — Charles Curtis

(Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Dustin Johnson, 8/1

Once again the World No. 1, Dustin Johnson looked unbeatable in a tune-up event for the U.S. Open last weekend. Johnson won his second PGA Tour event by six shots, capping the victory with a walk-off eagle at 18. He’s driving the ball a mile while remaining relatively accurate, he’s scrambling well when he needs to, and he was 12th in the field putting in Memphis.

He’s also proven that he can remain calm and play his best under fire. Johnson never loses his cool. Remember the controversial penalty stroke hanging over his head at Oakmont two years ago? He birdied the last hole of the tournament to render it entirely irrelevant. — Nick Schwartz

Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

Middle odds

Branden Grace, 33/1

Aside from an ugly 75 in the final round of The Memorial, Grace’s recent form has been solid, highlighted by a T3 at the AT&T Byron Nelson in May. Grace isn’t a bomber, but he’s more accurate than most, and he’s 15th on tour in strokes gained putting.

Grace has been in the mix before on a Sunday at the U.S. Open, as well. A late double bogey at Chambers Bay took him out of a tie for the lead with Jordan Spieth in 2015, and Grace finished in a tie for fifth the next year at Oakmont, four shots behind Dustin Johnson. — NS

Henrik Stenson, 33/1

He got close at The Masters this year, and like Rose, he’s consistent coming into a tournament that begs for consistency. He’s missed just one cut, has finished outside the top-20 in PGA Tour stops just twice since late October, and he leads the tour in driving accuracy percentage. When missing fairways is this costly, that comes in handy. — CC

(Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Long odds

Xander Schauffele, 100/1

Schauffele announced his arrival on the PGA Tour one year ago with a T5 at Erin Hills in the 2017 U.S. Open, and he went on to win two PGA Tour events later that year (The Greenbrier Classic and the season-ending TOUR Championship).

The 24 year old is coming off consecutive missed cuts, but he posted a second-place finish at The Players a month ago. — NS

Gary Woodland, 150/1

Maybe this is my response to taking two ball-strikers — grabbing one of the long drivers on the PGA Tour. And what if what Sergio Garcia told me — that the course is longer and a little wider — is true? If so, Woodland can miss some of those drives and recover, particularly given his 5th place on the greens in regulation percentage list. That all screams “sleeper” to me. — CC

 

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