Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the Military Tribute at the Greenbrier
2018 Military Tribute at the Greenbrier Fantasy Preview
On paper, Francesco Molinari’s decision to play the Quicken Loans National over the Open de France looked a strange decision.
Le Golf National, the host venue of last week’s European Tour event, will host the Ryder Cup in September, and so the Italian might have gone there, put on a decent show and showed Thomas Bjorn and co he is ready for selection.
In reality, Molinari had FedExCup points on his mind, and in a weak field he took full advantage to win, remarkably, the first PGA TOUR title of his career.
Playing with Abraham Ancer in the final group, the 35-year-old put his foot on the gas on the back nine, going eagle-birdie-birdie-birdie to open up an unassailable lead. He would eventually hit the clubhouse eight shots clear of the field.
Respect to Molinari for taking his own path then, and he will head to the British Open in a couple of weeks full of confidence.
The field at this week’s Greenbrier Classic will be looking to find a bit of magic of their own; or simply qualify for the third major of the year at Carnoustie. Four places are available to the top-12 finishers who aren’t already booked in for the British Open.
The fourth of July celebrations will be slightly delayed at The Old White TPC in West Virginia, with the tournament being re-branded as ‘A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier’ as a nod to the fine work of the country’s servicemen and women.
Xander Schauffele reacts after his birdie putt on the 18th green to take the outright lead during the final round of The Greenbrier Classic held at the Old White TPC on July 9, 2017 in White Sulphur… Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Last Week’s Fantasy Results
It was the Molinari show on Sunday as the Italian cruised to an impressive 62 stroke finish. Good news for us is that all seven of our main picks and all five our our Tuesday Sleeper Report picks made the cut.
Our Top-Dog Fowler charged up to finish 12th and along with him we had three others finishing in the Top 13, including Brian Gay’s T8.
Lahiri and Crane seemed to be exceptional low priced sleepers as both finished T13 to help round out some DFS rosters.
Francesco Molinari of Italy celebrates with the trophy and Tiger Woods after winning the Quicken Loans National during the final round at TPC Potomac on July 1, 2018 in Potomac, Maryland. Molinari… Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
On the European Tour, our six picks yielded 3 Top 8 finishes including Knox (T2), Rahm (T5) and Garcia (T8).
The Military Tribute at the Greenbrier 2018 Field
Phil Mickelson, who owns property around the estate here, has accepted a late-in-the-day invitation to play alongside Webb Simpson and Kevin Kisner, and they will join another Greenbrier homeowner in Bubba Watson, who will be looking to win an incredible fourth title of the season.
Defending champion Xander Schauffele will tee up hoping to find some form on a track with plenty of good memories; he has missed three of his last four weekends.
Bryson DeChambeau, Tony Finau and Brian Harman are the other standouts in a field which suggests the big guns are working on their game ‘behind closed doors’ ahead of the British Open.
Phil Mickelson of the United States and caddie Tim Mickelson walk on the seventh hole during the final round of the 2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club on June 17, 2018 in Southampton, New… Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
This Week’s Course Preview
The Old White TPC has produced winners ranging from Schauffele and Danny Lee to Scott Stallings, Angel Cabrera and Jonas Blixt in recent years; it’s just that kinda place!
The yardage is down at 7,287 yards for its Par 70, yet in reality it plays much shorter than that given its positioning above sea level.
Originally designed way back in 1914 by Charles Blair Macdonald, the layout underwent a significant makeover in 2016 after severe flooding changed the whole dynamics of the stretch. Complete holes were redesigned, although the nature of the track remains intact.
The Old White has mostly tree-lined fairways that are generous in size, and players who can shape the ball both ways tend to enjoy themselves here. The Bentgrass greens are larger than average too, so expect some big GIR percentages to be recorded.
There are only two Par 5s, which helps to keep scoring down a tad, but there are no demons here and – weather permitting – a winning score of between -13 and -16 is likely given what we have seen in the past couple of years.
Sebastian Munoz of Colombia walks up the sixth hole during the final round of The Greenbrier Classic held at the Old White TPC on July 9, 2017 in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Weather Forecast for White Sulphur Springs, WV
Here’s where things could get rather interesting. The lead-up to the Greenbrier is calm enough, with sunny spells producing some pretty warm temperatures.
And then the rain comes….
Well, according to the early forecast anyway. ‘Scattered thunderstorms’ have been predicted on Thursday and Friday, but as ever the meteorologists aren’t quite sure when or how prolonged these bursts may be.
So it’s a leap into the unknown this week, although at least the weekend could be free of rain and warm temperatures of around 80 degrees.
Last Year’s Results from The Military Tribute at the Greenbrier
Last year’s edition of the Greenbrier Classic was a slightly unusual affair.
The leader of the field through 36 and 54 holes was Sebastian Munoz, the Colombian who was actually playing on the Web.com Tour in 2017.
After opening with a 61, Munoz was still leading overnight on Saturday by two shots from Robert Streb and three from Jamie Lovemark and Xander Schauffele. The 300/1 shot couldn’t get the job done, could he?
No, he couldn’t. The Colombian posted a final round of 72, and was usurped by the fast-finishing Schauffele, who carded a closing 67 to claim his first PGA TOUR title of what would be a stellar first debut season.
Streb, Lovemark, Munoz, Kelly Kraft and Russell Henley rounded out the top five.
Where to Play Fantasy Golf for The Military Tribute at the Greenbrier this Week
It’s one of those awkward between-major events with minimal FedExCup points and prize money; hence the weak field. Still, there’s plenty of cash for DFS gamers to battle for.
- PGA $500k Drive the Green: The total prize money is a touch down on the same contest last week, but the top prize of $100k remains! Turn a profit by finishing in the top 20% of finishers.
- PGA $25k Scramble: A weak field means more head-scratching for those who don’t do their research….take advantage and aim for the $2.5k top payout.
This Week’s Fantasy Notes for The Military Tribute at the Greenbrier
The set-up at The Old White is fairly agreeable, and really there is little trouble to be found off the tee.
Of course, those who can shape their ball both ways will enjoy premium position on these tree-lined fairways, but the greens are large enough that enough a few missed fairways shouldn’t eat into your GIR count too badly.
The Greenbrier could degenerate into a contest of who hits it closest on approach, because even though these Bentgrass greens are slow-ish (and slowed further should it rain) the difference between making a 10ft putt for birdie and a 20ft speaks for itself.
And to reiterate, at a venue where attacking flags is possible, those playing in soft and wet conditions have a huge advantage; the weather forecasters will be your friends this week.
Schauffele ranked first for Greens in Regulation 12 months ago and sixth for Putting Average, which is fairly self-explanatory as to how he got the job done, and he made just six bogeys all week. Allied to 18 birdies and an eagle, that’s a winning formula and a half.
Our main correlations are those courses with a similar profile: Riviera, for example, is a tree-lined track framed by Bentgrass greens, while TPC River Highlands (the Travelers Championship) is also Bentgrass, tree-lined and a Par 70.
And here’s an odd leaderboard we’ve dug out. Munoz, who featured so prominently here 12 months ago, finished second at the Web.com Tour’s El Bosque Championship. Also in the mix were Ted Potter (T3) and Stuart Appleby (solo sixth) – both former winners of the Greenbrier, while Jamie Lovemark has a previous top-ten in the El Bosque and finished T3 here a year ago.
Coincidence? Possibly, but all narratives are welcome.
Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win The Military Tribute at the Greenbrier
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Fantasy Golf Predictions This Season (2017-2018)
Total Top 3s
Total Top 10s
Total Top 25s
Total Winners Picked
Total Runners-Up Picked
Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)
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