Overview of the Sentry Champions Tournament betting: "Take everything you have and drop it on Dustin …

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As holiday discomfort is over, the PGA Tour season resumes with this week's Sentry Champions Tournament on the Kapalua Plantation course. And with that, Golf Digest's Weekly Betting Analysis Column is back. Our expert panel, which includes a PGA Tour caddy providing front-line information every week through our partnership with The Caddy Network, as well as golf handicappers, have correctly predicted three of the six champions of the event. autumn season. We are therefore delighted to continue our momentum with winning choices in 2019.

Cam Champ, who won his first PGA Tour victory in the second start of his rookie season, was one of the highlights of the wrapping autumn season. Now, the stars are playing again. Thirty-three of the 37 eligible professionals for this year's Tournament of Champions are among the strongest in the category, including two-time winner and reigning champion Dustin Johnson.

This is what our group of experts like this week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Odds to Win (2019 Champions Sentinel Tournament) (DraftKings Sportsbook Odds):

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "PGA Tour Caddy Guest Week Selector: Brooks Koepka (10-1) – "I like that Brooks wins this week .It's true that he's historically a guy who only gets up for big events, I think his CJ Cup win has was a step in the right direction to calm this idea. "" data-reactid = "20">PGA Tour Caddy Guest Week Selector: Brooks Koepka (10-1) – "I like that Brooks wins this week .It's true that he's historically a guy who only gets up for big events, I think his CJ Cup win has was a step in the right direction to calm this idea. "

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Pat Mayo, DraftKings Analyst: Bryson DeChambeau (12-1) – Bryson burst into Hawaii, winner of three of his last six starts, placing in the top five in the field, beaten / won: off the tee; hits / won: short game; shots / won / approach; hits / wins: ball hit; strokes / won at par 5; Shots / wins at par 4, including par 4 from 350 to 400 yards (five on the course) in the last 24 laps. Bryson also leads FantasyNational.com's "Opportunities Gain" metric, which measures the amount of greens and fringes in regulation within 15 feet. (Think of this statistic as a more predictive version of greens in regulation). With its large greens, Kapalua generates nearly 50% more than three putts per lap than the average PGA Tour. So, do not put too much value in the greens regulations this week, it does not make sense if you are on the green but 65 feet from the cup. "Data-reactid =" 21 ">Pat Mayo, DraftKings Analyst: Bryson DeChambeau (12-1) – Bryson burst into Hawaii, winner of three of his last six starts, placing in the top five in the field, beaten / won: off the tee; hits / won: short game; shots / won / approach; hits / wins: ball hit; strokes / won at par 5; Shots / wins at par 4, including par 4 from 350 to 400 yards (five on the course) in the last 24 laps. Bryson also leads FantasyNational.com's "Opportunities Gain" metric, which measures the amount of greens and fringes in regulation within 15 feet. (Think of this statistic as a more predictive version of greens in regulation). With its large greens, Kapalua generates nearly 50% more than three putts per lap than the average PGA Tour. So do not put too much value in the greens regulations this week – it does not make sense if you're on the green but 65 feet from the cut.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Francesco Molinari (28-1): This is nothing but a pure chance value to play the odds. Of course, since his dominant Ryder Cup, he no longer has the opportunity to putt, but 33/1 is just too long for the world No. 7. Especially in a group of 34 players, on slow greens, where a hold is the most important club. That's the Moli thing. "Data-reactid =" 22 ">Francesco Molinari (28-1): This is nothing but a pure chance value to play the odds. Of course, since his dominant Ryder Cup, he no longer has the opportunity to putt, but 33/1 is just too long for the world No. 7. Especially in a group of 34 players, on slow greens, where a hold is the most important club. It's Moli's thing.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Brandon Gdula, FanDuel / numberFire publisher: DeChambeau (12-1)"data-reactid =" 23 ">Brandon Gdula, FanDuel / numberFire publisher: DeChambeau (12-1)

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Gdula: Webb Simpson (20-1): Simpson has not played here since his third place in 2014, but is at the top of the standings for strokes won by 4 par in 36 rounds. He is also a solid Bermuda putter. "Data-reactid =" 24 ">Gdula: Webb Simpson (20-1): Simpson has not played here since his third place in 2014, but is at the top of the standings for strokes won by 4 par in 36 rounds. He is also a solid Bermuda putter.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Dr. Lou Riccio, Columbia University: Justin Thomas (9-1) – My optimization model gives the winner of the 2017 Tournament of Champions the best chance of winning, despite the preachers giving him the third best chance of winning, according to the odds. "Data-reactid =" 25 ">Dr. Lou Riccio, Columbia University: Justin Thomas (9-1) – My optimization model gives the winner of the 2017 Tournament of Champions the best chance of winning, despite the fact that preachers give him the third best chance of winning, according to the odds.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Brooks Koepka (10-1) – Given that Koepka was last in the standings here in 2018, the title Tour of the Year has intrinsic value. With an extremely limited number of players, we will take the player whose game seemed to be the best in the world in 2018. Koepka had to deal with injuries during the first part of 2018, for which we give him a dead end. Expect Koepka to be motivated to maintain his domination in 2019 here. "Data-reactid =" 26 ">Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Brooks Koepka (10-1) – Given that Koepka was last in the standings here in 2018, the title Tour of the Year has intrinsic value. With an extremely limited number of players, we will take the player whose game seemed to be the best in the world in 2018. Koepka had to deal with injuries during the first part of 2018, for which we give him a dead end. Expect Koepka to be motivated to continue his domination in 2019 to a great extent here.

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Black sleeper / horses likely to win (odds by DraftKings Sportsbook):

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "PGA Tour Caddy: Andrew Putnam (80-1) – I love Andrew Putnam surprise this week. He has been playing fine golf since eighth place at the Canadian Open, and he won the following week at Reno. The fourth place on the windswept Shanghai course showed me that he was ready to compete with the big boys. People on tour are noticing it and the world of golf will not be long in seeing it. "Data-reactid =" 29 ">PGA Tour Caddy: Andrew Putnam (80-1) – I love Andrew Putnam surprise this week. He has been playing fine golf since eighth place at the Canadian Open, and he won the following week at Reno. The fourth place on the windswept Shanghai course showed me that he was ready to compete with the big boys. People on tour are noticing it, and the world of golf will soon see it.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Riccio: Aaron Wise (33-1) "data-reactid =" 30 ">Riccio: Aaron Wise (33-1)

Players faded this week (which will disappoint):

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "PGA Tour Caddy: Satoshi Kodaira He is a guy who just can not find consistency week after week on the PGA circuit he enjoyed in Asia. Since winning the Heritage, his best career result on American soil is a 41st win in Vegas in October. He plays a busy Asian program and although he won in Japan a month ago, this form has not yet been cleared by the customs authorities on this side of the world. It's a fade for me. "Data-reactid =" 32 ">PGA Tour Caddy: Satoshi Kodaira He is a guy who just can not find consistency week after week on the PGA circuit he enjoyed in Asia. Since winning the Heritage, his best career result on American soil is a 41st win in Vegas in October. He plays a busy Asian program and although he won in Japan a month ago, this form has not yet been cleared by the customs authorities on this side of the world. He is a bland to me.

The story continues

Matchups:

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "PGA Tour Caddy: Francesco Molinari (-120) on Cam Champ – Molinari is a light favorite, but I think it should be a heavier favorite. People have certainly noticed the success of Champion since his win at Sanderson Farms and the regular start of his rookie season in the fall, but remember that these are fields a little diluted. Molinari has been making hay for almost a year against the best in the world. Frankie showed how his team game (Carnoustie) behaved, and the jury still did not choose the Champ de Vent driver. "Data-reactid =" 38 ">PGA Tour Caddy: Francesco Molinari (-120) on Cam Champ – Molinari is a light favorite, but I think it should be a heavier favorite. People have certainly noticed the success of Champion since his win at Sanderson Farms and the regular start of his rookie season in the fall, but remember that these are fields a little diluted. Molinari has been making hay for almost a year against the best in the world. Frankie showed how much his wind is playing (Carnoustie) and the jury still has not chosen the Champ de Vent driver.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Brooks Koepka (-120) on Jason Day – We saw Koepka dominate at the end of 2018, while Jason Day has not seen much lately. Day did not play at Kapalua last year and finished T-12 in 2017, only shooting in the 60's. You have to go very low to succeed in Kapalua and we love Koepka's chances of make more birdies than Day. "Data-reactid =" 39 ">Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Brooks Koepka (-120) on Jason Day – We saw Koepka dominate at the end of 2018, while Jason Day has not seen much lately. Day did not play in Kapalua last year and finished T-12 in 2017, only shooting in the 60's. To succeed in Kapalua, we have to go very low and we like the chances of Koepka to make more birdies than Day.

Top 10 (Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook):

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "PGA Tour Caddy: This one is easy: ask what you have to ask Dustin Johnson (-200). Book takers give money for free. I do not think a lot of explanations are necessary, he has a great story about this course, he is in good health and he plays well. I would be comfortable spending a lot of money on this one. "Data-reactid =" 41 ">PGA Tour Caddy: This one is easy: ask what you have to ask Dustin Johnson (-200). Book takers give money for free. I do not think a lot of explanations are necessary, he has a great story about this course, he is in good health and he plays well. I would be comfortable spending a lot of money on this one.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Mayo: True, an absolute bomb, but in this small field, Satoshi Kodaira has just won a victory at his last start in Japan and earned his 2018 PGA victory on a Bermuda coastal course at The Heritage. That week, he damaged his irons, gaining 6.1 shots on the ground. It is not in the same category of skill as most people in this field, but it is not the lowest of the inhabitants, the probabilities suggest it. "Data-reactid =" 42 ">Mayo: True, an absolute bomb, but in this small field, Satoshi Kodaira has just won a victory at his last start in Japan and earned his 2018 PGA victory on a Bermuda coastal course at The Heritage. That week, he damaged his irons, gaining 6.1 shots on the ground. He is not in the same category of skill as most people in this field, but he is not the last inhabitant, probabilities suggest it.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Gdula: Matt Kuchar (+225) – Kuchar recorded a sixth and a fifteenth place at this event in the past and recently beat the Bermuda Greens and normal 4. "data-reactid =" 43 ">Gdula: Matt Kuchar (+225) – Kuchar has recorded a sixth and a fifteenth place at this event in the past and has recently gained shots on the Bermuda greens and on the normal 4.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Keegan Bradley (+250) – Bradley's putter could be a problem, but he ranks among the top five in approach and in strokes won by 350 – 400 yards (four of the holes of the week). "Data-reactid =" 44 ">Keegan Bradley (+250) – Bradley's putter could be a problem, but he ranks among the top five in approach and in strokes gained by 350 – 400 yards at par 4 (five of the holes of the week).

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Riccio: My optimization model gives Webb Simpson (+128) the third best chance of winning this week. His stellar corner play and his consistency with his driver in the fall should be reflected on the Plantation course, where he has two of the top three places. "Data-reactid =" 45 ">Riccio: My optimization model gives Webb Simpson (+128) the third best chance of winning this week. His stellar corner game and his consistency with his driver in the fall should result in the Plantation course, where he ranks twice in the top three.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Patrick Reed (+138) – A winner here in 2015 and finished in the top six in his last three appearances. Like Koepka, we anticipate that Reed will begin in 2019 with a chip in the shoulder, which should bode well for success. "Data-reactid =" 46 ">Editor's Choice Golf Digest: Patrick Reed (+138) – A winner here in 2015 and finished in the top six in his last three appearances. Like Koepka, we expect that Reed will begin in 2019 with a chip in the shoulder, which should predict a success.

DraftKings Compositions:

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Mayo: Who I build waiting lines this week – Justin Thomas $ 10,500; Jon Rahm $ 9,800; Bryson DeChambeau, $ 8,700; Matt Kuchar $ 7,600 "data-reactid =" 48 ">Mayo: Who I build waiting lines this week – Justin Thomas $ 10,500; Jon Rahm $ 9,800; Bryson DeChambeau, $ 8,700; Matt Kuchar $ 7,600

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Riccio: Dustin Johnson ($ 11,000); Justin Thomas ($ 10,500); Webb Simpson ($ 8,500); Aaron Wise: ($ 7,500); Brice Garnett: ($ 6,400); Andrew Landry ($ 6,100) "data-reactid =" 49 ">Riccio: Dustin Johnson ($ 11,000); Justin Thomas ($ 10,500); Webb Simpson ($ 8,500); Aaron Wise: ($ 7,500); Brice Garnett: ($ 6,400); Andrew Landry ($ 6,100)

FanDuel Composite:

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Gdula: No-Cut Events are not an excuse to play with too many low-level options, as the gap can increase rapidly on 72 holes. Balance is a smart approach in a busy field. Here are some mid-range options at solid prices on FanDuel: "data-reactid =" 51 ">Gdula: No-Cut Events are not an excuse to play with too many low-level options, as the gap can increase rapidly on 72 holes. Balance is a smart approach in a busy field. Here are some mid-range options at solid prices on FanDuel:

Jon Rahm ($ 10,500); Webb Simpson ($ 10,000); Matt Kuchar ($ 9,000); Brandt Snedeker ($ 8,900); Billy Horschel ($ 8,100)

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Riccio: Dustin Johnson ($ 12,000); Justin Thomas ($ 11,200); Jon Rahm ($ 10,500); Webb Simpson ($ 10,000); Aaron Wise ($ 8,200); Billy Horschel ($ 8,100). "Data-reactid =" 53 ">Riccio: Dustin Johnson ($ 12,000); Justin Thomas ($ 11,200); Jon Rahm ($ 10,500); Webb Simpson ($ 10,000); Aaron Wise ($ 8,200); Billy Horschel ($ 8,100).

About our expert pickers:

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Dr. Lou Riccio, PhD Lecturer, teaches rational decision making at Columbia's Graduate School of Business and has been on the USGA Disability Research Team for three decades. His predictive analysis and modeling allow him to make expert choices for our topic. "Data-reactid =" 55 ">Dr. Lou Riccio, PhD Lecturer, teaches rational decision making at Columbia's Graduate School of Business and has been on the USGA Disability Research Team for three decades. His predictive analysis and modeling help him make expert choices for our chronicle.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Pat Mayo is known as one of the most prominent experts in the field of daily sports and golf-related disabilities. Mayo is a finalist for 14 fantastic associations of sports writers, and he sits on the board of governors on www.fantasynational.com. "Data-reactid =" 56 ">Pat Mayo is known as one of the most prominent experts in the field of daily sports and golf-related disabilities. Mayo is a finalist of 14 fantastic associations of sports writers and he is a board member of www.fantasynational.com.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Brandon Gdula is editor-in-chief and analyst at NumberFire, FanDuel's daily fantasy analysis company. It also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. "Data-reactid =" 57 ">Brandon Gdula is editor-in-chief and analyst at NumberFire, FanDuel's daily fantasy analysis company. He also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast.